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FX Update

US productivity turned negative in Q3 as labor costs rise more than expected raising questions about Fed policy

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The dollar is weaker against most currencies as poor economic data led to profit taking after several days of dollar strengthening. Optimism on a US/China trade deal awaits confirmation as the Chinese ask Trump to lower his tariff weapon. Canadian dollar weakens on lower oil prices.

“Optimism is the faith that leads to achievement.  Nothing can be done without home and confidence.” 

Helen Keller
  • FX Rates
    November 6, 2019

    Rates are not real time. Rates are today's indicative mid-market rates as of time of publishing, which may vary. Please contact SVB for a current quote.

  • USD

    Dollar bulls take a break as US productivity data comes in weaker than expected. Several Federal Reserve governors are speaking today at various events as financial markets listen carefully for a consensus on the pause in rate cuts signaled at last week’s Fed meeting.


    The British pound is stronger today on overall US dollar profit taking. The UK parliament is dissolved today in preparation for the general election in 5 weeks’ time. 


    The euro gained as investor sentiment turned optimistic that Germany would provide additional fiscal stimulus. The German Finance Minister suggested deeper eurozone bank integration and a common deposit insurance scheme – something other countries have been seeking for years.


    The Canadian dollar was one of the few major currencies to lose to the US dollar – mostly on weaker oil prices. The price of West Texas Intermediate seems to be topping out at $57/bbl despite a recent optimistic outlook for global economic growth.


    The Chinese renminbi held onto most of yesterday’s gains to trade just under the key 7 level. Trade negotiators for China conveyed the importance of cutting tariffs as part of the “Phase 1” trade talks with the US.

    The Indian rupee lost ground after weak services sector data showed contraction. 

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About the Author

Peter Compton is a senior foreign exchange advisor for Silicon Valley Bank’s global financial services group, and has been with SVB since 2007. He helps clients design and implement hedging strategies for foreign currency exposures. Compton has over 20 years experience in global financial markets.

Before joining Silicon Valley Bank, Compton spent seven years working in the European equity markets. Based in Germany, he spent four years with HSBC and three years as Head of Equity Sales for ABN-AMRO in Frankfurt. Prior to his work overseas, Compton spent seven years with Bank of America in San Francisco as an equity and fixed income derivative specialist.

Compton holds a bachelor's degree in business and management from the University of Rhode Island and a Master's of Business Administration from San Francisco State University.
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