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    • Daily FX Update

    Daily FX Update

    • June 29, 2022

    Sterling trades lower as Nicola Sturgeon announces her plans for a second Scottish Independence vote. The Dollar climbs as recessionary concerns grow. US Consumer confidence prints at 16-month lows. 

    • FX Rates
      June 29, 2022

      Rates are not real time. Rates are today's indicative mid-market rates as of time of publishing, which may vary. Please contact SVB for a current quote.
      Source: Bloomberg

      GBP/USD1.2200
      GBP/EUR1.1606
      EUR/USD1.0511
      USD/CAD1.2863
      EUR/CHF1.0048
      EUR/SEK10.6757
      EUR/NOK10.3034
      EUR/DKK7.4393
      USD/ILS3.4452
      AUD/USD0.6890
      NZD/USD0.6241
      USD/SGD1.3884
      USD/JPY136.11
      USD/CNH6.7060
      USD/INR78.9625
      EUR/ILS3.6217
      GBP/ILS4.2008
      USD/ZAR16.1142

    • GBP

      The pound has come under further pressure over the course of the morning as issues facing the UK are continuing to pile up. Along with Brexit woes and the ongoing cost of living crisis, Nicola Sturgeon announced her plans last night for a second Scottish Independence vote next year.

      UK shop-price inflation surged 3.1% in June, with higher food prices gaining 5.6%, the biggest climb in over 10 years. According to reports, around 7million households did not have essentials like heating last month.

      EUR

      A chief ECB economist has said that he believes Europe will soon enter a period of stagflation, with 2024 inflation higher than the 2.1% forecast by the central bank. ECB member Simkus has this morning said that a 50bps hike in September could be “very likely” if data worsens.

      Euro bonds and the single currency declined this morning as German CPI printed at -0.1% in June, signalling the current peak might have passed. Moves were partially reversed as Spanish Inflation surged to a record 10%.

      USD

      The Dollar gained the most in over a week, climbing 0.5% overnight as a fall in equities boosted the safe-haven.  Concerns over global economic growth heightened, with investors seemingly skeptical that central banks can avoid recession. US consumer confidence printed at 16-month lows yesterday, as hot inflation continues to dampen the outlook.

      ASIA/PACIFIC

      China have halved the quarantine time for inbound travelers and close contacts, however created a new mass testing and lock down policy, confirming their Covid zero stance. Stocks dropped on negative sentiment, with the Asia Pacific index dropping 1.3%, ending a four-day climb.

      ILS
      The shekel weakened further against the Dollar yesterday, losing 1.35% on the week so far as volatility spikes on recessionary concerns. The pair trades just below 3.4500 at time of writing.
      Data & Events
      ECB Central Banking Forum
      Lagarde/Powell/Bailey all speak 
      Euro Area - Consumer Confidence 
                        Industrial and Economic Sentiment
      US - GDP

    Risk Statement

    Trading in financial instruments may involve a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading in financial instruments can result in both loss and profit. Investors should carefully consider whether financial instruments suit their needs, financial resources and personal circumstances.

    The information contained in this material is solely for informational purposes only and it is not and should not be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any financial instruments and cannot be relied upon as a representation that any particular transaction necessarily could have been or can be effected at the stated prices. This material does not contrue advice.

    Contact Us

    For more analysis on FX markets or information regarding SVB's FX services:

    Contact your respective Global Market Risk Solutions Advisor.
    0800 023 1440 from within the UK
    +44 207 367 7880 from overseas

    See all of SVB's latest FX information and commentary.

    Subscribe to receive FX updates to your inbox.


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     Source: Bloomberg
     

    © 2023 SVB Financial Group. All rights reserved. SVB, SVB FINANCIAL GROUP, SILICON VALLEY BANK, MAKE NEXT HAPPEN NOW and the chevron device are trademarks of SVB Financial Group, used under license. Silicon Valley Bank is a member of the FDIC and the Federal Reserve System. Silicon Valley Bank is the California bank subsidiary of SVB Financial Group (Nasdaq: SIVB).

    Silicon Valley Bank is registered in England and Wales at Alphabeta, 14-18 Finsbury Square, London EC2A 1BR, UK under No. FC029579. Silicon Valley Bank is authorised and regulated by the California Department of Business Oversight and the United States Federal Reserve Bank; authorised by the Prudential Regulation Authority with number 577295; and subject to regulation by the Financial Conduct Authority and limited regulation by the Prudential Regulation Authority. Details about the extent of our regulation by the Prudential Regulation Authority are available from us on request. Silicon Valley Bank is a subsidiary of SVB Financial Group, a Delaware corporation and is an affiliate of SVB Financial Group UK Limited. SVB Financial Group UK Ltd is registered in England and Wales at Alphabeta, 14-18 Finsbury Square, London EC2A 1BR, UK under No. 5572575 and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, with reference number 446159. SVB Financial Group and its subsidiary Silicon Valley Bank are members of the Federal Reserve System and Silicon Valley Bank is a member of the FDIC.

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    Your eligible deposits with Silicon Valley Bank UK are protected up to a total of £85,000 by the Financial Services Compensation Scheme, the UK's deposit guarantee scheme. Any deposits you hold above the limit are unlikely to be covered. Please click here for further information or visit http://www.fscs.org.uk. For more detailed information about coverage and limits, please review our FSCS Information Sheet at http://www.fscs.org.uk. 

    This material, including without limitation the statistical information herein, is provided for informational purposes only. The material is based in part upon information from third-party sources that we believe to be reliable, but which has not been independently verified by us and, as such, we do not represent that the information is accurate or complete. The information should not be viewed as tax, investment, legal or other advice nor is it to be relied on in making an investment or other decisions. You should obtain relevant and specific professional advice before making any investment decision. Nothing relating to the material should be construed as a solicitation or offer, or recommendation, to acquire or dispose of any investment or to engage in any other transaction.

    Foreign exchange transactions can be highly risky, and losses may occur in short periods of time if there is an adverse movement of exchange rates. Exchange rates can be highly volatile and are impacted by numerous economic, political and social factors, as well as supply and demand and governmental intervention, control and adjustments. Investments in financial instruments carry significant risk, including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. Before entering any foreign exchange transaction, you should obtain advice from your own tax, financial, legal, accounting and other advisors, and only make investment decisions on the basis of your own objectives, experience and resources. Opinions expressed are our opinions as of the date of this content only. The material is based upon information which we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such.

    Insights from SVB Industry Experts

     
    SVB experts provide our customers with industry insights, proprietary research and insightful content. Check out these related articles that may be of interest to you.

    Daily FX Update: UK economy to avoid recession

     
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    Daily FX Update: Shekel gains as judicial compromise on the table

     
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    Daily FX Update: ECB has "more work to do"

     
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    Daily FX Update: UK economy performs better than expected

     
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    Daily FX Update: UK business doubt government's brexit plans

     
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