The Russian-Ukraine crisis has not gone away and continues to unsettle global investors. Stock markets have not continued yesterday’s rally as Russian troops remain within striking distance of the Ukraine. Bond yields are slightly lower, and the US dollar is weaker across the board. Oil and gold prices have edged higher.
February 16, 2022
EUR/USD 1.1370 GBP/USD 1.3580 USD/CAD 1.2679 AUD/USD 0.7173 USD/JPY 115.41 USD/CNH 6.3371 USD/ILS 3.1925 USD/MXN 20.3525 USD/CHF 0.9234 USD/INR 75.0750 USD/BRL 5.1567 USD/SGD 1.3440 USD/DKK 6.5455 USD/SEK 9.2933 USD/NOK 8.8941
The dollar is broadly lower as investors digest news that Russian troops remain poised to invade and that diplomacy has yet to resolve the crisis. Both January’s Retail Sales and Industrial Production released this morning were much higher than expected. Traders await this afternoon’s release of January’s Fed policy meeting.GBP
The UK pound gained on the USD in line with broad dollar weakness and following high UK inflation data for January released this morning. CPI YoY of 4.9% was in line with expectations and slightly higher than December’s 4.8%, and Producer Prices rose 1.2% MoM, higher than 0.6% expected and December’s 0.3%.EUR
The euro is slightly higher, but well within the $1.13-$1.1450 range in place over the last nearly two weeks. December’s Industrial Production for the eurozone was much higher than expected. Traders look forward to next week’s release of eurozone PMI for February and CPI for January.CAD
The Canadian dollar rallied on the back of a weaker USD and higher than expected inflation in Canada. January’s CPI YoY of 5.1% exceeded expectations and December’s 4.8%. Traders await the next Bank of Canada meeting on March 2 with expectations for a rate hike of 25 bps following January’s meeting when the BoC disappointed traders with no hike.ASIA/PACIFIC
The Japanese yen was the only losing currency overnight, as its role as a safe haven was diminished even after US Secretary of State Blinkin said that there is no evidence that Russia pulled back any troops.
The Chinese yuan moved little overnight, putting a halt to the currency’s big rally yesterday, which saw it move from 6.36 to 6.34, its biggest gain since December. The USD/CNY is not far from January’s low at 6.3205, which was a four-year low in the currency pair. The People’s Bank of China has suggested that the yuan should weaken as major central banks tighten while it continues to ease rates to support economic growth.
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