Dollar mixed, markets await US econ data, Fed speak and corp earnings
Kathryn Garvey | July 15, 2019
Monday: July Empire Manufacturing Index
Tuesday: US June Retail Sales, Industrial Production, German ZEW Survey Expectations
Wednesday: US Housing Starts, UK CPI YoY, CA CPI YoY
Thursday: US Initial Jobless Claims, US Leading Index
Friday: U. of Michigan Sentiment
July 15, 2019
EUR/USD 1.1268 GBP/USD 1.2537 USD/CAD 1.3024 AUD/USD 0.7033 USD/JPY 107.91 USD/CNH 6.8741 USD/ILS 3.5381 USD/MXN 18.9743 USD/CHF 0.9834 USD/INR 68.5513
The dollar is mixed this morning as the US markets await fresh direction. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is due to speak tomorrow. Major lenders Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are due to deliver second quarter results this week.GBPThe pound is trading lower this morning – not far from two-year lows versus the dollar. The currency remains under pressure from Brexit uncertainty and by the ongoing Conservative party leadership election process that determines who becomes prime minister. Final results should be known within two weeks. BoE Governor Carney commented that the central bank has the flexibility to respond in “any direction” when asked about Brexit’s impact on the UK economy. UK inflation and unemployment are out this week.EURThe euro is slightly stronger this morning, but within a tight range that has persisted over the last several weeks. The cap likely comes from expectations for further dovish remarks from the ECB meeting next week. Markets have priced in an ECB rate cut of 10 bps in September and another 10 bps in March.CADOff of an 8-month high last week, the loonie fell slightly against the dollar. Oil held onto gains from the rally last week caused by increased Iran tensions, storm Barry in the Gulf of Mexico and falling US stockpiles.ASIA/PACIFIC
Data out of China included an industrial output rebound from May’s 17-year low, a 9.8% increase in Retail Sales YoY and finally the Chinese GDP grew at 6.2% - the slowest rate in 30 years. Despite all the positive news, the Chinese yuan moved little.
The aussie and kiwi were higher following the strong Chinese data.