Haven demand subsides causing dollar to lose ground

Haven demand subsides causing dollar to lose ground

The dollar gained 1.3% versus a basket of currencies last week but is beginning this week on much weaker footing. Some investors feel the fall in risk assets has gone too far and used the news of zero new Covid cases in China to buy equities and sell the dollar. The Fed’s annual Jackson Hole symposium culminates Friday with Chairman Powell speaking and investors listening for any change in Fed sentiment regarding monetary policy.

US Economic Data this Week:

Tuesday: New Home Sales for July

Wednesday: Durable Goods Orders for July

Thursday: Initial Jobless Claims

Friday: PCE Deflator for July, Retail Inventories for July, Personal Spending for July, Univ. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment for August. The Fed’s Chairman Powell speaks at virtual Jackson Hole event

  • FX Rates
    August 23, 2021

    Rates are not real time. Rates are today's indicative mid-market rates as of time of publishing, which may vary. Please contact SVB for a current quote.

  • USD

    After rallying last week, the USD retreated this morning as the risk-off tone gave way to bottom-fishing. Market’s will be paying close attention to Jerome Powell’s speech on the economic outlook at the virtual Jackson Hole event on Friday.


    The pound rallied strongly this morning briefly touching 1.37. GBP/USD trades down 1.5% since the start of last week, reaching lows of 1.3602 on Friday. Jitters over global growth sparked a broad selloff last week and the pound is leading markets higher against the dollar.


    EUR/USD gained this morning after a week of losses. The euro dipped 0.82% last week and briefly fell below the psychologically important 1.17 level. Since September last year the euro has rallied strongly after falling below 1.17.

    The Canadian dollar is rallying strongly following the price of oil higher. After last week's rout in the price of oil (-9%) bottom-fishing is leading to a 3% increase this morning. Commodity currencies in general are outperforming today on speculation the Fed may delay the start of tapering due to the Delta variant impact on economic growth.

    The Chinese renminbi gained after China reported zero new Covid cases overnight helping some investors to look beyond the delta variant's surge in cases in some countries.

    The New Zealand dollar gained despite the country extending its lockdown to August 27.

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Peter Compton
Peter Compton

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