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FX Update

The US dollar is weaker after Fed Chairman confirms US economy faces headwinds

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The US dollar gave back some of the gains since last Friday’s stronger than expected jobs report after Powell says US economic growth has become more uncertain since June. The Canadian dollar is stronger after oil prices shoot higher and markets await Bank of Canada decision later today.

“If opportunity doesn’t knock, build a door”
Milton Berle
  • FX Rates
    July 10, 2019

    Rates are not real time. Rates are today's indicative mid-market rates as of time of publishing, which may vary. Please contact SVB for a current quote.

  • USD

    The Fed’s Jerome Powell speaks before Congress today and tomorrow and will face questions from legislators. A prepared remarks statement was released this morning in which Powell says the US economy has faced increased uncertainty since the June FOMC meeting.  The dollar weakened immediately as prospects of a rate cut at the July 31 FOMC meeting increase.

    US-China trade talks appear to have resumed positively, with Larry Kudlow saying negotiators had “constructive” conversations.


    The pound rebounded from two-year lows overnight after Conservative candidates Jeremy Hunt and Boris Johnson debated their approaches to Brexit. Johnson refused to rule out the prospect of suspending Parliament in an effort to deliver Brexit on time should he become prime minister. The House of Commons backed a proposal aimed at preventing the next prime minister from pushing through a no-deal Brexit. Industrial and manufacturing production data was mixed leaving doubts about the UK economy.


    The euro strengthened overnight after French industrial production data came in much better than expected.  The euro spiked higher after the US Fed Chair's dovish comments in testimony to a congressional finance committee.


    The loonie is stronger on higher oil prices and the Fed Chair's dovish comments.  Oil inventories in the US sunk further than expected causing near term oil futures to spike higher. Bank of Canada meets later today with markets expecting no change to current monetary policy or rates.


    The Aussie dollar has fallen 15% since January 2018 in what has been a steady downtrend.  Higher iron ore and gold prices are giving traders hope the A-dollar will break out of weakening trend.

    Japan’s yen had slipped to a five week low against the dollar prior to the dovish Fed Chair statement.

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About the Author

Peter Compton is a senior foreign exchange advisor for Silicon Valley Bank’s global financial services group, and has been with SVB since 2007. He helps clients design and implement hedging strategies for foreign currency exposures. Compton has over 20 years experience in global financial markets.

Before joining Silicon Valley Bank, Compton spent seven years working in the European equity markets. Based in Germany, he spent four years with HSBC and three years as Head of Equity Sales for ABN-AMRO in Frankfurt. Prior to his work overseas, Compton spent seven years with Bank of America in San Francisco as an equity and fixed income derivative specialist.

Compton holds a bachelor's degree in business and management from the University of Rhode Island and a Master's of Business Administration from San Francisco State University.
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