Investors pause to mull over US-China trade truce, US dollar edges lower and stocks are mixed
July 2, 2019
Investors are pausing to mull over recent US-China and US-North Korea actions. Global stock markets were mixed overnight and bond yields edged lower. The US dollar was off, but only slightly. A stronger Australian dollar and Japanese yen were the biggest movers.
“If you can’t explain it to a six year old, you don’t understand it yourself.”Albert Einstein
July 2, 2019
EUR/USD 1.1299 GBP/USD 1.2637 USD/CAD 1.3119 AUD/USD 0.6997 USD/JPY 108.18 USD/CNH 6.8761 USD/ILS 3.5731 USD/MXN 19.0742 USD/CHF 0.9883 USD/INR 68.9425
The dollar moved little overnight as traders pause to analyze recent US-China and US-North Korea actions. US-Iran is on the back-burner, even after a UN Watchdog group confirmed that Iran breached its stockpile limit under the 2015 nuclear deal.
US auto sales for June released today may be the weakest H1 figure in six years.GBP
Little change was seen in the UK pound. Top candidates for UK Prime Minister, Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt, both promised to remove the controversial Irish backstop to make sure no new borders will be erected between Northern Ireland and Britain as a result of Brexit.EUR
The euro moved slightly higher to around $1.13, and is characterized by subdued trading activity. Investors are watching the on-going problems of the European Union in choosing new leaders for the EU Commission and the ECB. The catch is that the EU is required to divide its top jobs along geographical lines. Separately, Italy reported that they will experience an improved budget, forecasting less spending and higher revenues.CAD
The Canadian dollar moved off recent lows as traders await release of Canadian manufacturing data. Oil prices moved lower as OPEC ministers and Russia discuss bringing oil inventories down.ASIA/PACIFIC
The Reserve Bank of Australia cut rates by 25 bps to 1.25%, but the AUD actually strengthened and is currently trading near $0.70. Its policy statement was perceived as less dovish than expected, suggesting a pause in cutting rates further.
The Chinese yuan retreated from recent strength as investors pause to analyze the US-China trade truce.
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