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    • Foreign Exchange Advisory
    • FX Update

    Investors return to equities and the dollar weakens for a second day

    Peter Compton Headshot
    Peter Compton
    • June 21, 2022
    Risk sentiment improved over the long weekend with the US dollar down slightly vs. most currencies. However, the greenback hit a fresh 24-year high against the Japanese yen as FX markets see little catalyst for the yen. The euro and British pound are both stronger vs. the US dollar as some investors see risk assets as being oversold.

    This week's economic events

    Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications for last week

    Thursday:  Initial Jobless Claims for last week, S&P PMI for June

    Friday: Univ. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment for June, New Home Sales for May

    • FX Rates
      June 21, 2022

      Rates are not real time. Rates are today's indicative mid-market rates as of time of publishing, which may vary. Please contact SVB for a current quote.

      EUR/USD1.0550
      GBP/USD1.2273
      USD/CAD1.2944
      AUD/USD0.6964
      USD/JPY136.19
      USD/CNH6.6966
      USD/ILS3.4576
      USD/MXN20.2023
      USD/CHF0.9675
      USD/INR78.07
      USD/BRL5.1685
      USD/SGD1.3850
      USD/DKK7.0525
      USD/SEK10.0935
      USD/NOK9.7955

    • USD

      After a long weekend in the United States the dollar is slightly weaker across the board as risk sentiment turns positive.

      Biden will decide this week on whether to declare a federal gasoline tax holiday, to cool energy driven inflation. He also reiterated his belief that a US recession was not an inevitability.

      US Existing Home Sales for May are due out later this morning.

      GBP

      The pound traded stronger over the past couple days compared to the US dollar. A return of risk sentiment helped lift Cable. The UK faces widespread rail disruption as the largest strike in 30 years begins.

      EUR

      The euro was stronger yesterday and again this morning. The ECB’s anti-crisis tool shows the bank’s determination to defend the euro’s integrity. They will also try to protect the economic and political unity of the bloc with the anti-fragmentation tool.

      The EU is set to formally grant Ukraine candidate status later this week. Meanwhile, Sweden and Finland continue talks with Turkey to join NATO.

      CAD

      The Canadian dollar gained slightly on the US dollar as the price of oil is $2 higher at around $111/bbl this morning after having hit $123 last week. USD/CAD has been trading off expectations of central bank activity and has all but ignored the price of oil over the past two weeks.

      ASIA/PACIFIC

      The Japanese yen hit 136 and a fresh 24-year high. Some market participants see 140 within reach at which point the Bank of Japan will be forced to change policy. 

      RBA Chief Lowe signaled he will only raise rates by 25 basis-points at the July meeting. This quickly saw markets scrap bets of a 75 basis-point jump.

      China’s outbreaks are shifting to its south coast, with a flare-up in Shenzhen triggering lockdowns and mass-testing.

    Contact Us

    For more analysis on FX markets or information regarding SVB's FX services:

    Contact your respective SVB FX Advisor or the SVB FX Advisory Team at GroupFXRiskAdvisory@svb.com.
    See all of SVB's latest FX information and commentary at www.svb.com/foreign-exchange-advisory

    Subscribe to receive FX updates to your inbox.


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     Source: Bloomberg
     

    This article is intended for U.S. audiences only.

    ©2023 SVB Financial Group. All rights reserved. Silicon Valley Bank is a member of the FDIC and the Federal Reserve System. Silicon Valley Bank is the California bank subsidiary of SVB Financial Group (Nasdaq: SIVB). SVB, SVB FINANCIAL GROUP, SILICON VALLEY BANK, MAKE NEXT HAPPEN NOW and the chevron device are trademarks of SVB Financial Group, used under license.

    The views expressed in this email are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of SVB Financial Group, or Silicon Valley Bank, or any of its affiliates. This material, including without limitation the statistical information herein, is provided for informational purposes only. The material is based in part upon information from third-party sources that we believe to be reliable, but which has not been independently verified by us and, as such, we do not represent that the information is accurate or complete. The information should not be viewed as tax, investment, legal or other advice nor is it to be relied on in making an investment or other decisions. You should obtain relevant and specific professional advice before making any investment decision. Nothing relating to the material should be construed as a solicitation or offer, or recommendation, to acquire or dispose of any investment or to engage in any other transaction.

    Foreign exchange transactions can be highly risky, and losses may occur in short periods of time if there is an adverse movement of exchange rates. Exchange rates can be highly volatile and are impacted by numerous economic, political and social factors, as well as supply and demand and governmental intervention, control and adjustments. Investments in financial instruments carry significant risk, including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. Before entering any foreign exchange transaction, you should obtain advice from your own tax, financial, legal, accounting and other advisors, and only make investment decisions on the basis of your own objectives, experience and resources.

    Peter Compton
    WRITTEN BY
    Peter Compton
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