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Featured Commentary & Analysis


Economic Outlook
May 17, 2011 Posted by
A few years ago, I was driving in San Francisco when someone ran a red light, hitting me in the driver's side. Luckily, we both were uninjured, but this had become such an epidemic throughout the city that the mayor eventually took action.
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Laurence Hayward

FX Outlook
March 23, 2010 Posted by
It seems to have been a while since we examined what is happening with the Canadian dollar (CAD). The CAD — affectionately known as the loonie after the bird that is on the back of the one dollar bill — is approaching parity with the US$. The question that is inevitably being asked: How strong will it get?
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FX Outlook
August 17, 2010 Posted by
Yen interest rates are at 0.1 percent, the lowest in the world. The two things that determine the strength of a currency are its trade cash flows and its investment cash flows. Japan has a trade surplus, which means when the funds from overseas sales are repatriated, the Japanese have to buy yen, and this keeps the currency strong. Why then was the yen so weak, in the 120 range for so long?
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FX Outlook
March 01, 2011 Posted by
The question for most people is why the dollar is not strengthening with the upheaval in Egypt, Libya and the Middle East situation. In the risk on/risk off world we have become used to, surely there should have been a flight to quality (U.S. bonds) and consequently the US$, which should have strengthened.
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FX Outlook
August 22, 2012 Posted by
European Central Bank (ECB) leader Mario Draghi blew his credibility up in dramatic style over the last couple of weeks by first saying he would forcefully do whatever it takes to preserve the euro on July 26 at the London Global Investment Conference.....
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