FX Outlook

 

FX Outlook
April 28, 2016 Posted by
BOJ surprised the market with no changes to ETF purchases or a rate cut in the loans support program.
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FX Outlook; Startups; Technology; Venture Capital; Asia; Europe; U.S.
April 28, 2016 Posted by
A UK departure from the world’s largest economic bloc has gone from a distant unlikelihood to a very possible reality—and markets are speculating on what that reality might mean for the UK economy.
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FX Outlook; Startups; Technology; Venture Capital; Asia; Europe; U.S.
April 18, 2016 Posted by
The resulting choppy markets caused a flight to safety due to U.S. Federal Reserve Board Chair Janet Yellen’s comments this week. The Japanese yen and Euro strengthened along with currencies in emerging markets & commodity currencies as the threat of higher U.S. interest rates receded.
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FX Outlook; Startups; Technology; Venture Capital; Asia; Europe; U.S.
March 30, 2016 Posted by

Another factor that has added to the volatility in the FX market has been the fluctuations in energy prices. This particular influence has augmented the currency rate of countries that are large exporters of petroleum. 

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FX Outlook
March 21, 2016 Posted by

The holiday-shortened week is off to a fairly quiet start so far. In the FX space, the USD started out the Asian session with a decent bid tone, however, these gains were given back during London trading and

 
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FX Outlook; Startups; Technology; Venture Capital; Asia; Europe; U.S.
March 07, 2016 Posted by
In February 2016 the lack of transparency with oil prices and all things related to China have created unsettled global investors, leading to choppy markets and a flight to safe-haven currencies, while emerging market and commodity currencies generally underperformed.
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FX Daily; FX Outlook; Asia
February 24, 2016 Posted by

Overview

  • The onshore RMB fix came out almost 1% stronger on Feb 15, 2016 at 6.5118.  After the fixing, RMB continued its rally to 6.4950 – making it the biggest one day gain in 10 years.
  • PoBC Governor Zhou pushed back on expectation of a sharp devaluation and tightened capital controls. 
  • Downgrading of Fed hike expectation and additional quantitative easing by Bank of Japan (BoJ) and European Central Bank (ECB) suppress G3 rates outlook which in turn may give some much needed breathing room for the RMB.     
  • Capital outflow remains a key concern that could exasperate further currency weakness.  The saving grace is what still looks like a healthy trade surplus.  
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FX Outlook; Startups; Technology; Venture Capital; Asia; Europe; U.S.
February 09, 2016 Posted by
January 2016 was one of the toughest months on record for global financial markets.  Currency markets took it on the chin, as did commodities and equities.  A relief rally in oil at month-end did spark a recovery in many markets.
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FX Outlook; Startups; Technology; Venture Capital; Asia; Europe; U.S.
January 14, 2016 Posted by
In 2016, the dollar will continue to strengthen as long as it appears the U.S. interest rate is in a rising trend. Look for falling commodity prices to decline further as long as Chinese growth shows no turnaround from its contraction. The effect will roll over and push the commodity currencies (Australia, New Zealand and South Africa) and emerging market currencies lower.
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FX Outlook; Startups; Technology; Venture Capital; Asia; Europe; U.S.
December 17, 2015 Posted by
It is expected that 2016 will be an eventful year. It’s an election year. Headlines and swinging polls tend to create more volatility in the financial markets. Besides that, there are still economic headwinds and central banks are working through various fiscal dynamics. Three themes that will get much attention in the New Year will be the value of the euro, higher interest rates, and China’s inclusion into the reserve system.
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