Why the Rupee is Weakening... AgainFX Outlook; Global EdgeJune 14, 2013 Posted by Scott Petruska, CFA Read More0 Comments
The Indian rupee has been the worst-performing Asian currency over the past month. This last Tuesday the USD:INR rate reached 58.985 — an all-time high! This latest upswing in the USD:INR rate begun last month near 54.00 and was fueled by a combination of domestic and international factors (see below). The all-time high rate prompted an unexpected appearance in the market by the Indian government. Their central bank , the Reserve Bank of India, intervened directly into the FX market by selling U.S. dollars. The intervention was successful, as it is now trading lower; however, seldom does one bout of intervention by a central bank turn the tide on a currency. I’ll make a side bet that intervention will be needed again to prevent further rupee weakness.
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