Insights

 

FX Daily
January 10, 2014 Posted by
The nonfarm payroll data was disappointing to say the least, with a gain of only 74K for December. The forecast was for 200K, but November was revised up 38K to 241K.
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FX Daily
January 09, 2014 Posted by
The Canadian dollar weakened to a 4-year low against the U.S. dollar, and fell against all its major peers as data showed that housing starts and building permits in the country fell.
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FX Daily
January 08, 2014 Posted by
The dollar followed up on its gains after a strong ADP number this morning. Private payrolls rose 238K in December, which was above expectations and the most in a year.
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FX Daily
January 07, 2014 Posted by
The dollar was mostly stronger this morning on limited global economic reports. Last night, Janet Yellen was confirmed to be the next Federal Reserve Chairman with a vote of 56-26, a record low for any chairman.
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Observation Deck
January 03, 2014 Posted by
There is an old saying in the trading world, "sell on the rumor and buy on the news." This quote fits perfectly with how the bond market reacted to events in 2013. The year began with hopes of a "Great Rotation," in which investors would sell bonds and invest in riskier assets such as equities, which prompted speculation that yields would increase. Despite vastly improved economic fundamentals in the U.S., bonds remained well-bid as the Fed made no indication that it would tighten in the near future. This is not to say that there wasn't any volatility in the bond market.
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FX Daily
December 27, 2013 Posted by
The Euro hit a two-year high this morning against the USD after ECB Governing Council member Jens Weidmann stated keeping interest rates low may endanger political reforms.  Weidmann was quoted by Germany’s Bild newspaper saying low inflation should not be used as justification for loose monetary policy and that there will be a need to raise rates quickly if inflations return.
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FX Daily
December 23, 2013 Posted by
Richmond Fed president Jeffrey Lacker stated that the bond tapering was the right decision and Ben Bernanke’s upcoming departure did not influence the decision.  He stated that on a future basis, pauses or increases in the pace of tapering would be possible and is data dependent and the funds rate is likely to move in early 2015. 
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FX Outlook
December 23, 2013 Posted by
Richmond Fed president Jeffrey Lacker stated that the bond tapering was the right decision and Ben Bernanke’s upcoming departure did not influence the decision.  He stated that on a future basis, pauses or increases in the pace of tapering would be possible and is data dependent and the funds rate is likely to move in early 2015.
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