Insights

 

Economic Outlook
July 17, 2012 Posted by
Food prices have been on a tear lately.  In fact, grain prices are up 17 percent this month and look poised to rise further as the extent of this year's drought looks to be extreme. This story has legs because it is a dramatic increase in the cost of something we all need (a Google search for "food prices" restricted to the most recent 24 hours returns nearly 16 million hits).  But does it really matter to overall inflation?
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CIO Vantage Point
July 13, 2012 Posted by
1. Germans oppose further bailouts.Forty-one percent of respondents are "seriously concerned" about social unrest and fifty-four percent believe it is "almost futile" to try to save the euro.Though an unscientific poll, given the other sixteen euro countries seem to be looking to Germany, the results are certainly understandable.2.The EU softens qualifications for Spain's most recent bailout.The deadline for Spain to improve its deficit was extended by one year to 2014 after a deal was struck to provide €100 billion to the country's banks.Kick of the can" number 4,312.In other news, Moody's downgraded Italy by two notches to Baa2.
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CIO Vantage Point
July 13, 2012 Posted by
For those of you old enough to recall this line from SNL (nearly thirty years old, I'm afraid), the first sentence in the linked article will likely bring a chuckle: "France is ready to cede sovereignty to its European partners…" Though the country is not in any real fiscal trouble, European Affairs Minister Bernard Cazeneuve felt confident enough to make this statement implying France is ready to report to a council of some sort, run by all 17 members of the euro zone.
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CIO Vantage Point
July 06, 2012 Posted by
1. UK lawmakers set up inquiry on LIBOR issue. Early next week, a showdown between a Bank of England and a Barclays official will ensue.The question on hand is: Did the Bank of England encourage Barclays to submit artificially low rates in the LIBOR rate-setting process? Recall during the height of the crisis how worried everyone was about the banking industry? This does not seem so implausible.
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Economic Outlook
July 06, 2012 Posted by

If you have a floating rate loan, you probably think that your interest accrual will rise "when rates go up" and fall "when rates go down."  This would be true if all rates moved together, but the ongoing "LIBOR scandal" as it's being called demonstrates otherwise.

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Public Policy
June 25, 2012 Posted by
Our inaugural interview in our video series, The Exit Interview, sheds light on the valuations process - an important step in preparing for an IPO. Listen to Joe Morgan, Chief Investment Officer of SVB Asset Management, and Will Bowmer of Barclays discuss what makes a successful IPO...
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Economic Outlook; Global Edge; Public Policy
March 22, 2012 Posted by
Robert Guest, The Economist’s Business Editor, discusses his key business and economic findings from his book Borderless Economics: Chinese Sea Turtles, Indian Fridges and the New Fruits of Global Capitalism in this video interview with Joe Morgan, Chief Investment Officer of SVB Asset Management...
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Economic Outlook
February 16, 2012 Posted by
The Brazen Dozen is a list of events that I believe have a 40 percent probability of occurring during the year. These events skirt the outposts of probability. The objective is to think outside the box with regard to economic, market, and political activity so that we may better prepare for the 100-year floods that seem to occur so frequently.
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