Bonus Burglary

 
Economic Outlook
March 24, 2009 Posted by:

No, I don't even know your name,
It doesn't matter
You're my experimental game,
Just human nature

-Katy Perry


The House of Representatives voted 328-93 last week to impose a 90 percent tax on bonuses paid after December 31, 2008 by companies that received more than $5 billion in government bailout funds. Of course, the tax would only apply to the "rich," that is those who receive total compensation of more than $250,000. The list of these companies is small, to be sure, but contains some surprising names such as Wells Fargo, Bank of America and Chrysler.

While out for my weekend run I came across five cyclists all wearing Wells Fargo gear from head to toe. As we passed I didn't know whether to feel vindictive or sympathetic. Surely, these five guys were not responsible for the breakdown of our entire financial system, but my government believes they were.

So instead, I passed them with only a bewildered look on my face and a confused state of mind. Today, though there may be some cases of wrongdoing, there are thousands of workers at Bank of America, Chrysler and even AIG who have done nothing wrong, but are now being portrayed as the villains of our current crisis.

Too many aspects of the current witch hunt seem to have arisen from happenstance. Why the $5 billion cutoff? Why the $250,000 total compensation limit? Why only bonus payments and not total compensation? Why only the financial sector?

Back home, exhausted from both the run and the mental gymnastics, I logged onto the New York Times to see if anything interesting was happening and found this little gem: "The Obama administration will call for increased oversight of executive pay at all banks, Wall Street firms and possibly other companies..."

All my questions were answered. The taxing apparently won't stop with those who received bailout money, or those making more than $250,000, or even with those in the financial sector. So, where does it stop?

Already, the folks at these companies who have nothing to do with the financial side are being punished. Think of the IT or marketing executive who just happens to work for a financial company. Why is he or she being vilified?

Then, it struck me. What is the world's largest financial institution? It must be the U.S. Government. Does this mean Barack Obama's book deal signing bonus will be taxed at 90 percent? I won't be holding my breath.

Key Developments

In February, producer prices rose 0.1 percent and consumer prices rose 0.4 percent. There is little information in the data to support increasing hyperinflationary fears, but one wouldn't expect such results until the economy can gain traction. Once recovery is on the way, it will be up to the Treasury and the Fed to pull in the reigns on monetary policy in order to tame what could surely be tremendous inflationary pressures.

Housing starts rose a surprising 22.2 percent in February to 583,000. This is still well below the estimated replacement rate of 750,000 to 1,000,000 homes, meaning the overall housing stock continues to decline. Much of the increase in February came from the multifamily sector as the demand for rental units is increasing.

The current account deficit for the fourth quarter fell to $133 billion from $181 billion in the third quarter. The improvement in the trade balance for goods and services was the prime reason the current account deficit fell to its lowest level since the first quarter of 2001.

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