Surviving at the Bottom of the Riverbed

Surviving at the Bottom of the Riverbed
January 06, 2010 Posted by: Joe Morgan, CFA

Many market commentators are referring to today’s economic malaise in the form of letters. Are we in a “U-shaped” recession or will it be a “W?” Perhaps the worst of both worlds: the dreaded “L.” The obvious extended nature of our current downturn will be much longer than that implied by these simplistic descriptors. Instead, I prefer the analogy of crossing a riverbed. Today, we stand in the flat portion at the bottom of the riverbed, having sped down towards the bottom rather violently.

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